Tomato hater, Sports lover

WILL WARRIORS STRUGGLE IN THE CLUTCH IN 2013-14?

勇士隊在2013-14球季的關鍵時刻會當機嗎？

原文網址－
http://www.warriorsworld.net/2013/09/23/will-warriors-struggle-in-the-clutch-in-2013-14/

The Golden State Warriors made some changes to their roster during the 2013 offseason and it is fair to wonder how these moves will affect their play late in ball games during the 2013-14 season.

金洲勇士隊陣容在2013休賽季做出些許調整。會思考這些改變將如何影響2013-14球季關鍵時刻的表現是理所當然之事。

Golden State acquired Andre Iguodala during free agency and consequently had to watch Jarrett Jack and Carl Landry join the Cleveland Cavaliers and Sacramento Kings respectively.

勇士隊在自由市場中簽到Andre Iguodala，而這也使的他們必須眼睜睜的看Jarrett Jack和Carl Landry分別加入克里夫蘭騎士隊和沙加緬度國王隊。

Given that both players performed quite well off the bench during the 2012-13 season, there is a feeling that the second unit might take a step back. There is perhaps a point to be made on that front but the starting unit will be better in 2013-14.

由於這兩位球員在2012-2013球季從板凳跳出來表現優異，不禁會覺得新球季的替補實力會稍稍減弱。在這前提下來看板凳戰力變弱是有道理的，但先發戰力將會比上季來的更好。

One of the areas of concern with the departure of the tandem is the Dubs’ performance down the stretch of games. With the scoring margin within three points during the last two minutes of the game, Golden State scored 98 points per 100 possessions.

這兩位離開球隊所引發的其中一部份顧慮便是勇士隊（譯按：Dubs是勇士迷稱呼勇士隊的小名）在比賽關鍵時刻的表現。在比賽最後兩分鐘且分差三分內時，勇士隊每一百次進攻能得98分。

That figure was in the league’s bottom third according to NBA.com. The Warriors only converted 34.2 percent of their field goals in this setting. Clearly there is room for improvement but one can only wonder if Golden State has the personnel to do so.

這個數字根據NBA.com統計是聯盟倒數第三名。勇士隊在這情況下命中率只有34.2%。很明顯的勇士隊在關鍵時刻的表現還有很大的進步空間，但問題是人們會懷疑勇士隊的球員是否有辦法擔起這責任。

In 2012-13, Mark Jackson simply put the ball in the hands of Jarrett Jack late in games and lived with the results. NBA.com’s advanced stats tool tells us that Golden State’s super sub took most of the shots with the score within three points in the last two minutes of the game in his lone season in the Bay.

在2012-13球季，Mark Jackson基本上就是在比賽後段時，把球給Jarrett Jack處理並接受任何結果。NBA.com的進階數據工具告訴我們金州勇士的超級替補在去年灣區一季遊中，最後兩分鐘且分差三分內的比賽他的出手次數最多。

Jack took 27 such field goals while Stephen Curry was second on the team with 19. Curry was particularly bad in this setting because of his penchant to go for the jugular. Indeed, the Dubs’ leading scorer loved to bring the ball up and simply launch contested 3-point shots down the stretch of games.

Jack出手27次，而Stephen Curry則出手球隊第二多的19次。在這個情況下Curry特別的糟，因為他傾向於給對方致命一擊。沒錯！勇士隊的得分王喜歡在比賽關鍵時刻帶球過半場，然後直接的拔起來砍一個被對到的三分球。

Because of this, the coaching staff entrusted Jack with steering the offense and it produced mixed results. Golden State favored putting their sixth man in the middle of the floor beyond the arc to scan the defense.

正因如此，教練團交給Jack來掌控進攻，而這產生了各種結果。勇士隊偏愛把他們的最佳第六人放到球場中央位於弧頂的位置來觀察防守。

From there, the Warriors usually ran Curry off screens and when he shook loose, the ball came his way. Look at the video below for an example of this:

此時，勇士隊通常跑一個Curry空手掩護戰術，而當他甩掉防守者時球就會傳到他手上。請見以下的VCR：

In the event Curry did not get free or that Golden State wanted to throw defenses off, they would act as though the set was designed to feature the sharpshooter as the primary option and actually go away from him and run a pick-and-pop with David Lee.

當Curry無法如勇士隊想要的甩開防守者，他們會表現像是要作戰術給他們的超級射手，但真正的第一選擇是把球遠離射手並和David Lee跑檔拆戰術（譯按：pick-and-roll和pick-and-pop都是檔拆戰術；前者是檔人者空手跑向籃框，而後者是檔人者拉到中距離跳投）。

The coverage obviously determined the direction of the play. Watch below as the Miami Heat decide to hedge on Jack. He and Lee read the defense and adjust:

防守顯然會影響戰術要如何執行。看以下的VCR，邁阿密熱火隊決定要作障礙緩衝（hedge）Jack。在他和Lee解讀防守後作出以下調整：

Lee quickly went to the open area on the court to receive a pass and drive to the hoop. Although he missed the shot, it was still a high -percentage look.

Lee快速的跑向空檔區域，接球後切入籃下。雖然他沒進，但這依然是個好的出手機會。

Things got dicey for Golden State when great defensive teams nullified those two options. It left Jack with the ball in his hands and the shot clock ticking down. That prompted him to go one-on-one against his defender, which provided some uneven results.

當優質的防守球隊防住這兩個選項時，對勇士隊來說狀況便難以掌握。最終導向Jack控球然後時間慢慢磨掉。迫使他必須和防守者一堆一，而造成不確定的結果。

In the video below, Jack goes to his pet play where he employs a series of dribble moves and then rises up for the elbow jumper:

以下的VCR中，Jack用出他得意的招。他利用一連串的運球後拔起來砍45度角中距離跳投：

That jumper turned Jack into some sort of mythical figure for Warriors fans and even led to a post titled Jarrett Jack God Mode is real by our very own Ethan Sherwood Strauss.

這個跳投讓Jack成為勇士隊的某種神話人物，甚至讓我們的Ethan SherwoodStrauss作出標題為「Jarrett Jack上帝上身」的海報。

The new Cavalier grew exceedingly comfortable with the stage and consequently called his number often late in games and helped the Dubs win 17 of their 29 games decided by three points or less.

這位騎士隊的新同學越漸習慣大場面，所以比賽末段常常交給他，並幫助勇士隊贏下29分之17的三分差內比賽。

The Warriors were not great in this setting, but Jack allowed them to run their offense and play Curry off the ball. Running the Davidson product off screens occasionally created open looks for his teammates and also forced a couple of defensive rotations that allowed the likes of Klay Thompson to get open looks.

勇士隊在關鍵時刻並不優秀，但Jack讓他們可以跑出戰術並解放Curry的無球攻擊。執行Davidson的產物－空手掩護戰術，偶爾能創造隊友的空檔和迫使一些防守輪轉讓像Klay Thompson這樣的人能有空檔出手機會。

Jack’s defection to Cleveland technically creates a void that forces Curry to assume ball-handling duties once again in crunch time. Except that is not entirely true.

Jack跑去克里夫蘭這件事從技術上來說產生關鍵時刻的空缺，從而迫使Curry要再次承擔關鍵時刻的控球責任。不過這不完全正確。

Iguodala can actually orchestrate the offense late in games because he is a good ball-handler and also a good passer. Furthermore, he is a decent pick-and-roll player that can split double teams attack the rim for scores.

Iguodala真的可以在比賽末段組織進攻，因為他是個好的控球者和傳球者。此外，他是個優秀的檔拆球員，可以切開包夾並攻擊籃框得分。

The tricky thing about the swingman is that he possesses some of Jack’s instincts but poorly executes in late game situations. He loves to have the ball on the wing and will always dribble towards the middle of the floor.

奇怪的是這位搖擺人的擁有一些Jack的特質但在關鍵時刻執行能力卻很差。他熱愛在兩翼持球並總是往球場中央運。

From there he will scan the defense and see if he can get all the way to the basket. In the event he senses there is too much resistance, Iguodala will typically pull up from the elbow for a jump shot. For the sake of understanding what that means, have a look at his shot chart from the 2012-13 campaign and pay careful attention to the right and left elbows:

然後他會觀察防守並看能否一路殺進籃下。當他覺得防守太緊時，Iguodala特愛在45度角拔起來跳投。為了瞭解這什麼意思，來看看他2012-13球季的投籃區域表，並注意兩邊45度角中距離：

Not so coincidentally, NBA.com’s advanced stats tool tells us that Iguodala converted eight-of-22 (36.4 percent) shots during the 2012-13 season with the scoring margin within three points in the last two minutes of games. Here is his shot chart for the previously outlined setting:

不意外的，NBA.com的進階數據工具告訴我們Iguadala在12-13球季剩兩分鐘且三分差內的比賽裡，投進22球中的8球（36.4%命中率）。這是前述內容的投籃表：

The sample size is small but we can see that he is not incredibly proficient from the elbow areas in crunch time. He is actually on par with his regular season shooting figures from that range. Potentially, this could spell doom for the Warriors’ clutch offense in 2013-14.

雖然是小樣本，但我們能看到他並不精通於關鍵時刻的45度角中距離跳投。事實上這命中率等同於他常規賽的命中率。這命中率很可能會對2013-14球季勇士隊的關鍵時刻帶來毀滅性的結果。

However, there are other variables worth considering. As a member of the Denver Nuggets, Iguodala was not afforded many driving lanes because the team lacked great shooters.

然而，依然存在其他變數值得端詳。身為丹佛金塊隊的一員，由於隊上沒有優質射手，Iguodala沒有多少切入空間。

Between Curry and Thompson, Iguodala has floor spacers to help open up the floor because of the defensive attention they require. Also, one can assume that the coaching staff will occasionally use a small-ball lineup featuring Harrison Barnes at power forward in these situations, which means the Dubs will have another shooter on the hardwood.

由於Curry和Thompson的關係，防守必須注意他們，所以Iguodala有射手幫助他拉開空間。同時，我們也可以假設教練團偶爾會排出小球陣容，在關鍵時刻將Harrison Barnes擺在大前鋒的位置。這意味著勇士隊場上又有另一位射手。

That opens things up for Iguodala. Thus, if the Curry is covered and the screen-and-roll option is thwarted by the defense, the highflyer will have a chance to simply put his head down and head to the rim where he has converted roughly 70 percent of his shots during his career per Hoopdata.

這將幫Iguodala拓展出康莊大道。如此一來，當Curry被守住同時檔拆這個選項也被防守給阻撓時，這位飛人將有機會埋頭衝向生涯命中率約莫70%的籃框底下。

Obviously, teams will mix and match. That means he may end up throwing the ball out to an open shooter. Also, the Warriors can add a new wrinkle by running a pick-and-roll with Iguodala and Curry, hence creating a mismatch where the highflyer posts up a smaller defender.

顯而易見的，球隊會調和。代表他可能將球傳給外圍空檔射手。同時，勇士隊可以利用Iguodala和Curry的檔拆增加點新把戲，創造出這位飛人低位單打矮小防守者的錯位。

Until we see things unfold on the floor, this is mostly an exercise in speculation, but the Dubs have the potential to be a good closing offense in 2013-14. Jackson will have to find the right combination of players and plays to make this happen and there is reason to believe he will based on the adjustments he made on this front in 2012-13.

不到球季開打，這些都是猜測。但勇士隊在2013-14球季將有潛力成為一個好的關門球隊。Jackson將找出正確的組合和戰術來讓這事成真，而且我們有十足把握相信他會基於在12-13球季關鍵時刻戰術的調整來作變更。

心得：

這篇是很不錯的戰術分析文，算是優文共賞。
但還是稍稍講一下心得。

勇士隊失去Jack真的很可惜，我想有看去年勇士季後賽的人都能理解關鍵時刻Jack的重要性。

新球季勇士要彌補Jack的離去有兩個要點：
1. 小AI勢必要分擔進攻playmaker的責任
2. Curry的組織控球必須要成長，關鍵時刻不能再當射手而已
(原文並沒有提到Curry的成長，但我認為這個是關鍵小AI的進攻穩定度畢竟不如Jack)

關於文章開頭的替補戰力變弱，我倒是保持觀望的態度。
Landry的空缺已經有Marreese Speights補上，雖然可能不如Landry這麼好用但也是非常堪用的禁區替補。

上季，Jack和Curry必須有一人在場上才比較穩定，所以錯開使用。這季應該也是一樣。
小AI和Curry都是先發，不過應該不太會看到兩人都下場的情況。（除非有犯規麻煩或受傷）
至於補的TDG就不期不待，最多就頂一下控球時間。畢竟只是防守、射手型控衛，組織力就.....

我比較偏向健康的勇士隊整體是進攻持平，但防守提升的升級。

替補可能不比去年來的好看，但配合著用並不會差太多。